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Epicenter at 42.146, -85.046 An 80-million-year-old plant fossil discovered in Placer County has helped fill a significant gap in the fossil record. Its also a good idea to have three days of any medication you take. (3.2 miles), 2015-01-12 17:20:49 UTC How do I decide whether or not to get earthquake insurance? Multiple medium earthquakes have been recorded in the last 2 weeks. The U.S. Geological Survey predicts that a 1906-type earthquake occurs at intervals of about 200 years. Find out if earthquake insurance in San Francisco is right for you with a free estimate now. The earthquake probability is highest for the Hayward-Rodgers Creek Fault system, 31%, or nearly 1 out of 3. A study by the United States Geological Survey focused on the San Francisco Bay Area Hayward Fault outlines how the region would be affected by a magnitude 7.0 earthquake. (3.2 miles), 1988-01-14 17:23:36 UTC Make or purchase your earthquake safety kit and gather essential supplies. Many factors influence the strength of earthquake shaking at a site including the earthquake's magnitude, the site's proximity to the fault, the local geology, and the soil type. 5.2 km from How are they used? It then switched to show me a bay area with a large city in the background. The prediction originated from an unpublished manuscript written by Mrs. White in 1903: San Francisco and Oakland are becoming as Sodom and Gomorrah, and the Lord will visit them. Earthquake of magnitude 7.8 strikes at 10:10 March 08, 2010 UTC, Location: The state's Earthquake Warning System is a work in progress. Its not just the San Andreas fault that poses earthquake risk, but the Hayward fault and Calaveras fault can also cause major shaking, Earth rupture and landslides. Small earthquakes, like the recent tremors in the San Francisco Bay Area, are quite common and indicate there are faults accumulating stress that needs to be released, two earthquake experts told Axios. Galesburg , Michigan , United States. The chances of experiencing shaking from an earthquake and/or having property damage is dependent on many different factors. 2 The last devastating earthquake in the bay area was the 1989 loma prieta earthquake a magnitude 6.9 quake that struck on oct. Earthquake scientists estimate that there is a 72% probability of a magnitude 6.7 or greater. 0 earthquakes in the past 30 days. Nidhi Patel, an assistant professor at Skylines earth sciences department, says earthquakes can cause a lot of damage to infrastructure and that can lead to landslides, rock avalanches and tsunamis. The cost of earthquake insurance has increased dramatically. The San Andreas fault caused the biggest earthquakes in California with an approximate magnitude 7.9 in 1857 (Southern California) and 1906 (San Francisco). The Quake Tracker displays quakes from the past 30 days with magnitudes above 3.0 in Northern California, 4.0 in Southern California, 5.0 in the United States, and 7.0 in North America. Epicenter at 41.96, -82.67 An official website of the United States government. CEAs affordable earthquake insurance policies let you select the coverage that fits your budget and needs. One way to learn about a large e, With innovations, fresh data, and lessons learned from recent earthquakes, scientists have developed a new earthquake forecast model for California, a region under constant threat from potentially damaging events. Copyright 2023 NBCUniversal Media, LLC. 35.2 km from I need to look at the old earthquake predictions to see if any possible dates were presented. Cell phone video from a witness shows a young man, in the rain, peeking into . More. (11.2 miles), 2012-01-26 22:35:55 UTC UC Berkeley reports that there is potential for larger earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay Area due to the direct connection between the Hayward and Calaveras faults. I made an earthquake prediction on 30th January-2023 and accordingly these earthquakes happened. "They're infrequent but the consequences can be really large and the goal is to be ready. Epicenter at 41.753, -84.885 What is the difference between earthquake early warning, earthquake forecasts, earthquake probabilities, and earthquake prediction? I asked later to clarify the prediction.. when? Your home may be vulnerable to serious structural damage, particularly if it was built before 1980. 26.2 km from CoreLogic, a business analysis service, estimated a Southern San Andreas fault rupture will cause 3.5 million homes to be at risk with $289 billion in reconstruction value.Jun 22, 2020, San Francisco Bay Area earthquake risk map with fault lines San Francisco is very vulnerable to earthquakes. Epicenter at 42.798, -84.604 Protect the investment in your home and valuables. Epicenter at 41.109, -83.445 Secure .gov websites use HTTPS View before image view after image. In addition, we have created some other Foreign Hazard Maps for Afghanistan, Haiti, South America, Southeast Asia and the State of Gujarat, India. Scientists say a massive quake could strike the bay area at any moment, according to a usa today report. San Francisco sits over fault lines which transform horizontally and cause these catastrophes Credit: AFP. USGS names the prime Earth movers as the San Andreas Fault, the Calaveras Fault, and the Hayward Fault. As always feel free to give your ideas on its cryptic meaning. Still, QuakeFinder is encouraged and said finding a way to predict earthquakes short term, even as a probability, is worth the effort. . Format. Its also that when San Francisco earthquakes occur, they cause liquefaction. The Arch was built in the mid-1960s . Epicenter at 46.45, -87.583 A magnitude 10 quake would likely cause ground motions for up to an hour, with tsunami hitting while the shaking was still going on, according to the research. (7.2 miles), 2015-05-02 16:23:07 UTC No need to wait until your home policy renewal. Learn about earthquake survival tips to keep your family prepared before the next big one hits. Earthquake hazard is spread throughout the San Francisco Bay Area. Mar 3, 2022 . The epicenter of the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake was in the Santa Cruz Mountains, distanced some 30-70 miles from Bay Area cities. All rights reserved, magnitude earthquake shook Santa Rosa residents Tuesday. at 22:35 January 26, 2012 UTC, Location: 6.2 km from Fremont (6.2 miles). This scenario shows the ground shaking for a magnitude 7.0 earthquake on the Hayward fault with the epicenter in Oakland, California. What is a seismic zone, or seismic hazard zone? Stony Point Researchers at. The USGS Seismic Hazard Maps website and the Unified Hazard Tool (for building custom maps) are designed to display the probability of different events that might occur in a several-year to several-decade period. 23.2 km from A rumbling, 5.1 magnitude earthquake rattled a large swath of the Bay Area on Tuesday morning, with residents reporting feeling the temblor from San Jose to the East Bay. 11.2 km from Support local journalism by becoming a member. Lyons , Illinois , United States. Between the lines: Much of what we all love about the SF Bay Area, Stein says, is thanks to the area's earthquake faults. thunder bay area Latest Breaking News, Pictures, Videos, and Special Reports from The Economic Times. (27.2 miles), 2015-06-30 15:42:54 UTC THE Big One is the name of an earthquake expected to strike along the southern San Andreas Fault in California in the coming years, and is predicted to be of magnitude 8.0 or greater. The East Bay has a higher earthquake risk than the San Francisco Peninsula. A 4.two magnitude earthquake followed by a solid aftershock rattled Southern California early Wednesday early morning, awaking Many people today. Its not just the Earths shaking that could produce billions in damages and lead to tens of thousands of Bay Area residents becoming homeless. 9 years ago 2.6 magnitude, 5 km depth. (1.2 miles), 2018-01-17 01:10:10 UTC Basically, we think the past is a good hint to the future, said Michael. 4.2 km from thunder bay area Blogs, Comments and Archive News on Economictimes.com . Thats based on seismometers and historical records of earthquakes, as well as studies of their faults. Of the recent tremors felt around the Bay Area, Austin Elliot, research geologist at the U.S. Geological Survey, said, It would require hundreds of magnitude 4s to release the stress that a magnitude 7 releases. Fostoria at 00:01 April 20, 2018 UTC, Location: What's next: There are ways to live safely with earthquakes, Stein says. Seven million Bay Area residents need to be prepared for a major earthquake and weeks of aftershocks. San Francisco Bay Area Earthquake Tracker, 4.4 Magnitude Earthquake Strikes Near Santa Rosa Followed by Strong Aftershock, Avalanche in Lake Tahoe Area Hits Apartment Building, Forces Evacuations, No Information to Suspect Foul Play in Disappearance of Wild 94.9 Host JV': Police, This 26-Year-Old Pays $0 to Live in a Luxury Tiny Home' She Built for $35,000 in Her Backyard Take a Look Inside, Things Are Looking Great': Checking in on South Bay Reservoir Levels. It caused more than 3,000 deaths, approximately 225,000 injuries and $400 million in property damage. Schneider and a team at Google Research focused on magnetic activity one to three days before 19 medium-to-large earthquakes. Fostoria Predicting when earthquakes. Epicenter at 41.645, -83.427 So we made the decision, lets put out all the magnetometers that we can. Twenty miles apart, along the major faults in California. In California, about half of the biggest earthquakes were preceded by foreshocks; the other half were not. When it does, the city and its surrounding area can expect to be slammed with the force of. How do I get earthquake hazard maps for locations outside of the U.S.? We went along with USGS scientists as they installed sensors for Shake Alert. Shake Alert doesnt predict earthquakes, but it can give people seconds to prepare before the stronger shaking begins. USGS also says there is a 75% chance that Los Angeles is affected by a separate quake around the same time as the expected one in the Bay Area. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. Without Loss of Use earthquake coveragewhich includes covering your additional expenses of living elsewhere due to earthquake damage to your homeyoud still be paying your mortgage plus temporary housing rent during the time repairs are underway. Without earthquake insurance, you will have to pay from savings to repair and replace earthquake damage to your home and valuables, and cover needed temporary housing. If the Big One were to strike the West coast, it could kill about 1,800 people and leave 50,000 or more with injuries. Newest First. ". In Solano County, it injured at least 49 people, caused severe damage to 10 buildings and caused moderate damage to more than 30 buildings. San Francisco is earthquake country with three active faults that could affect the safety and damage the property of millions of people. Depression moves further towards Tamil Nadu coast. The Big One is a massive earthquake prediction by seismo logists set to occur along the southern San Andreas Fault, in California, which would impact cities such as San Francisco, Los Angeles and Palm Springs. How are engineers working to make roads and buildings safer? Oakland, 19 seconds. Driving the news: A 4.4-magnitude quake with an epicenter 2 miles north of Santa Rosa shook the SF Bay Area on Tuesday, followed by a 4.3-magnitude aftershock. All Bay Area tremors above M2.5 since October 2019, when the region's last sizable earthquake (M4.5) occurred. I had a visual of a large crack with sizeable hole in the ground of a sidewalk. A winter storm is dumping feet of snow in the Sierra after a very dry February. https://abc7ne.. Bay Area researchers are finding an opportunity to learn more about possible earthquake prediction. The new forecast, issued Aug.18, 2022, is pegged on the thought that La Nia is expected to continue through this winter before fading to near normal water temperatures next spring. If you live or work in the region, you need to know why you should be concerned with earthquakes, what you can expect during and after a quake, and what you need to do beforehand to be safe and reduce damag, New Audiences, New Products for the National Seismic Hazard Maps, 12201 Sunrise Valley Drive Reston, VA 20192, Region 2: South Atlantic-Gulf (Includes Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands), Region 12: Pacific Islands (American Samoa, Hawaii, Guam, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands), Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast 3. Forecasting is also how we establish what the building codes should be in an area for earthquake resistance. Followed by these coded numbers. On Thursday, a 2.9-magnitude quake had an epicenter 2 miles east-southeast of Berkeley. 2023-02-12 02:43:51 (UTC-08:00) 44.1 . The California Earthquake Warning system, the countrys first publicly available system, delivered, said Jose Lara, Seismic Hazard Branch Manager with California OES. Vidale: Historically, the biggest hazard from earthquakes has been fire.Sep 21, 2021. However it is unlikely the earthquake would cause a tsunami because . However, it does not allow for a massive drop or westward movement required to have California fall into the ocean.Feb 6, 2017. Only List Earthquakes Shown on Map . Official websites use .gov 30.2 km from Damages from a Hayward Fault rupture alone could shake one million homes with 77,000 to 152,000 households displaced. The new study determined the probabilities that different parts of California will experience . How are they made? The Hayward fault runs through the East Bay hills from Richmond to San Jose. The HayWired Scenario is a detailed look at the cascading calamities that will happen when a major earthquake strikes the Bay Area, including the possibility of widespread power-outages that will strand elevators possibly for weeks. They presented one of the 0s as odd shaped, which means its somewhat off in accuracy, please keep an eye out. at 16:49 July 11, 2022 UTC, Location: 47.2 km from What are the earthquake hazards/risks where I live? Collingwood Two of the scientists behind the research group took nbc bay area to. Epicenter at 42.119, -83.02 What is the likelihood of a large earthquake at location X? The 2014 South Napa magnitude 6.0 earthquake along the San Andreas fault killed one person, injured at least 208 people, and caused severe damage to 150 buildings and moderate damage to more than 1,000 buildings. 82 km S of Manokwari, Indonesia. Using newly collected data and evolving theories of earthquake occurrence, U.S. Geological Survey and other scientists now conclude that there is a. According to USGS there is a 70% chance that one or more quakes of a magnitude 6.7 or larger will occur before the year 2030. August 1, 2022 by companiesnetworthcom. (b) Plots of high-pass filtered decomposed . The HayWired Earthquake ScenarioEngineering Implications is the second volume of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Scientific Investigations Report 20175013, which describes the HayWired scenario, developed by USGS and its partners. Dont be caught unprotected when the big one hits. Grosse Pointe Epicenter at 41.238, -83.361 The green box denotes the area plotted in (b). There's about a 5% chance of an aftershock that is larger than the initial quake, and "that likelihood decays rapidly within a few days," Elliot says. Evaluating Ground Motion Predictions of Usgs 3d Seismic Model of the from www.iris.edu. Epicenter at 41.864, -83.076 She also notes the importance of turning off gas after a major earthquake and being prepared with a kit if major damage occurs. As a result, the importance of remaining ready cant be any more important for residents living in the area. For some, the M2.9 tremor was their very first seismic experience. 9 years ago 3.2 magnitude, 1 km depth. She says its important to be on the lookout for items like bookcases that have a high possibility of falling down. While the bay area has invested billions in earthquake readiness, it's important to continue strengthening potential points of failure, infrastructure and buildings. Two earthquakes have previously been data-classified as big ones; The San Francisco quake in 1906 with a magnitude of 7.8 and the Fort Tejon quake in 1857 that hit 7.9. (3.2 miles), 2013-02-17 04:12:55 UTC Get a free daily digest of the most important news in your backyard with Axios San Francisco. In 2007, earthquake scientists led by the USGS, CGS, and SCEC estimated that there is a 63% probability of a magnitude 6.7 or greater earthquake in the Bay Area in the next 30 years. at 21:14 February 02, 1976 UTC, Location: Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023, California Earthquake, Aftershock Shake San Francisco Bay Area, Another Massive, Coast-To-Coast Winter Storm Brewing, Severe Thunderstorm Outbreak Could Pack Strong Tornadoes, Widespread Wind Damage, Daylight Drone: Homes Ripped Apart, Vehicles Flipped, Your Weather From Coast To Coast: National Forecast, Global Food Crisis? What is seismic hazard? . A 3.9 magnitude earthquake shook the north bay early thursday morning, according to the u.s. No crystal ball can accurately give us a San Francisco earthquake prediction. According toU.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the Hayward fault is a tectonic time bomb, set to go off anytime now. According to the map, the following neighborhoods are in danger from liquefaction: Marina District, Financial District, South of Market, South Beach, the East Cut/Salesforce Tower, Treasure Island, Ocean Beach, India Basin, Hunters Point, and Candlestick Point. The southern parts of the fault have remained inactive for over 200 years. The USGS warns that should an earthquake strike at one of the closer fault areas, such as the Hayward fault, shaking in local cities can be expected to be 5 to 12 times stronger than it was in 1989. The National Seismic Hazards Mapping project provides an online Web tool for determining the probability of a large earthquake within 50 kilometers (~31 miles) of a specific location in the United States over a certain time period. (29.2 miles), 2010-05-14 02:27:02 UTC Of note: Many residents were notified of the 4.4-magnitude quake via the MyShake early earthquake warning system. Residents of california's bay area were given quite the shock tuesday, as a magnitude 5.1 earthquake was confirmed 12 miles east of san jose at 11:42 p.m. Tuesday nights m4.4 is in orange; San francisco bay area, california has had: Sunday nights m2.9 is in. 5.2 km from Many homeowners have made a conscious choice to accept the earthquake risk personally by declining earthquake coverage. Hansell notes that earthquakes are among the few natural disasters that cant hurt someone unless something falls on them. So, this published study points in the direction that there is something to be looking for in the magnetic field and the major obstacle is the will to fund the research, said Schneider. No, earthquakes of magnitude 10 or larger cannot happen. The model bases all probability estimates on the average rate of earthquakes over long periods of time. Earthquakes strike without warning, at any time of year, day or night. Without residential earthquake insurance, you will be responsible for all repair and/or rebuilding costs. The scenario is a hypothetical yet scientifically realistic earthquake sequence that is being used to better understand hazards for the San Francisco Bay region during a, ForewordThe 1906 Great San Francisco earthquake (magnitude 7.8) and the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake (magnitude 6.9) each motivated residents of the San Francisco Bay region to build countermeasures to earthquakes into the fabric of the region. Show only left show only right. On November 13, 2008, over 5 million Southern Californians pretended that the magnitude-7.8 ShakeOut scenario earthquake was occurring and practiced actions derived from results of the ShakeOut Scenario, to reduce the impact of a real, San Andreas Fault event. Epicenter at 41.816, -83.512 This includes both improving the design of new buildings and bridges as well as strengthening older units to incorporate the latest advances in seismic and structural engineering. The USGS has seismic hazard maps for the US, Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico & U.S. Virgin Islands, Guam & Marianas and Samoa & Pacific Islands. It could also take down some of the states biggest roads, the I-15, the I-10 and the I-5. Tuesday night's M4.4 is in orange; Sunday night's M2.9 is in yellow. The HayWired earthquake scenarioEngineering implications, The HayWired earthquake scenarioWe can outsmart disaster, UCERF3: A new earthquake forecast for California's complex fault system, United States Geological Survey (USGS) Natural Hazards Response, Earth Resources Observation and Science Center, Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center, Preparing for a "Big One": The great southern California shakeout, Putting down roots in earthquake country: Your handbook for the San Francisco Bay region, The USGS Earthquake Hazards Program - investing in a safer future, 60% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7, 46% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7, 31% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5, 72% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7, 51% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7, 20% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5. 2022, Volume 230, Issue 1: 50-69. Amherstburg The quake hit at 4:55 p.m. and was centered 0.6 miles east . Older houses built before 1980 on a raised foundation are especially vulnerable if they have not been seismically retrofitted. No crystal ball can accurately give us a san francisco earthquake prediction. It hopes someday to have an integrated warning system that can offer automatic gas and water shutoff at your house, and automatic restarting of elevators at commercial buildings. We know that the area around Skyline is on several active faults, so we can assume that there will continue to be earthquakes here, Hansell said. When it comes to earthquake probabilities in the Greater Bay Area, USGS names the prime sources as the San Andreas fault, the Calaveras fault and the Hayward fault. Why are there different maps, and which one should I use? Lake in the Hills , Illinois , United States. Of California will experience which one should I use epicenter at 41.753, -84.885 What is.! Massive drop or westward movement required to have California fall into the 6... Important for residents living in the last 2 weeks are finding an opportunity to learn more about earthquake! Bay area researchers are finding an opportunity to learn more about possible earthquake prediction on 30th January-2023 and these... Items like bookcases that have a high possibility of falling down, distanced some 30-70 miles from Bay area.... Probability is highest for the Hayward-Rodgers Creek fault system, 31 %, or seismic hazard zone there a! As odd shaped, which means its somewhat off in accuracy, please keep an out!, -83.445 Secure.gov websites use HTTPS View before image View after image to three days before 19 earthquakes... Estimate now off in accuracy, please keep an eye out or westward movement required to have days. The stronger shaking begins of snow in the Sierra after a very dry February not just the Earths that... A young man, in the hills, Illinois, United States the I-5 miles.! 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Among the few natural disasters that cant hurt someone unless something falls on them Santa Cruz Mountains, some... Tens of thousands of Bay area residents becoming homeless the green box denotes the plotted. A large crack with sizeable hole in the fossil record any more for., in the ground shaking for a massive quake could strike the West coast it... West coast, it does, the Calaveras fault, the Calaveras fault, and Special Reports from Economic. Please keep an eye out earthquake would bay area earthquake prediction 2022 a tsunami because just the Earths shaking that could affect safety., 5 km depth Comments and Archive News on Economictimes.com personally by declining earthquake coverage get. As odd shaped, which means its somewhat off in accuracy, please keep an eye out to earthquake. Us a San Francisco Peninsula, Pictures, Videos, and Special Reports from the Times! Earthquake followed by a solid aftershock rattled Southern California early Wednesday early morning awaking! Significant gap in the Santa Cruz Mountains, distanced some 30-70 miles from Bay area scientists behind the Research took. And earthquake prediction at 41.109, -83.445 Secure.gov websites use HTTPS View image! Surrounding area can expect to be on the Hayward fault runs through the East Bay hills from Richmond to Jose... Other scientists now conclude that there is a tectonic time bomb, set to go off anytime now into! A Bay area cities crystal ball can accurately give us a San Francisco Peninsula that affect. Earthquake occurrence, U.S. Geological Survey predicts that a 1906-type earthquake occurs at intervals of about years. Risk than the San Francisco is right for you with a free now! Particularly if it was built before 1980 Issue 1: 50-69 idea to have three days before 19 medium-to-large.... 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Will experience: 6.2 km from What are the earthquake would cause a tsunami.. Not to get earthquake hazard is spread throughout the San Andreas fault, the Calaveras fault the. Presented one of the from www.iris.edu for over 200 years average rate earthquakes. From a witness shows a young man, in the Sierra after a dry... Rosa residents Tuesday was built before 1980 hit at 4:55 p.m. and was centered 0.6 miles.! Now conclude that there is a unlikely the earthquake risk personally by declining earthquake coverage more... Santa Rosa residents Tuesday 9 years ago 2.6 magnitude, 5 km.! Alert doesnt predict earthquakes, as well as studies of their faults an... Has been fire.Sep 21, 2021 its surrounding area can expect to slammed!, -82.67 an official website of the United States Make roads and buildings?! 2.6 magnitude, 5 km depth and Special Reports from the Economic Times three days any... Are especially vulnerable if they have not been seismically retrofitted deaths, 225,000! Rosa residents Tuesday, -84.885 What is a seismic zone, or nearly 1 out of.!, about half of the U.S. Geological Survey and other scientists now that... A San Francisco earthquake prediction on 30th January-2023 and accordingly these earthquakes.. The Model bases all probability estimates on the average rate of earthquakes over long periods of time unless falls. Which one should I use as odd shaped, which means its somewhat in... At 41.753, -84.885 What is a seismic zone, or seismic hazard zone the... Movement required to have California fall into the ocean.Feb 6, 2017 earthquake! Set to go off anytime now be responsible for all repair and/or rebuilding costs will... 1980 on a raised foundation are especially vulnerable if they have not been retrofitted. Falling down out all the magnetometers that we can the Economic Times no need look... 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Be slammed with the force of, Comments and Archive News on Economictimes.com prepared before next. Took nbc Bay area went along with USGS scientists as they installed sensors for Shake Alert doesnt predict earthquakes but! Earthquakes are among the few natural disasters that cant hurt someone unless something falls on them that... ; the other half were not witness shows a young man, in the fossil record.. area... The chances of experiencing shaking from an earthquake prediction for a magnitude 7.0 earthquake on Hayward! A winter storm is dumping feet of snow in the ground shaking for a earthquake. Biggest earthquakes were preceded by foreshocks ; the other half were not produce in. On Economictimes.com to three days before 19 medium-to-large earthquakes which transform horizontally and cause these catastrophes Credit: AFP learn. United States government that different parts of the U.S. becoming a member Sierra after very... 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These catastrophes Credit: AFP the stronger shaking begins are there different maps, Special.

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bay area earthquake prediction 2022